High Probability Trading Techniques

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Long time trader and educator Tim Morge is also a popular visiting physics professor at several prestigious US universities. His background in physics guides the way he views the markets:

• Extreme to Balance to Extreme: “As Above, So Below”
• Markets at rest, tend to stay at rest
• Markets moving, or flowing, tend to continue to flow
• The Frequency of Price can be located early in a move
• Frequency carries through Price as the flow or trend unfolds

In this presentation, Tim will show you how to spot the frequency of price as the seeds of a trend are first being planted, and how he uses this price frequency, along with price structure, to spot the beginnings of a trend and then find an early, high probable entry. Tim will also show how he relies on physics principles when drawing on price charts and how he uses ten or twelve bars on a twenty minute bar chart as a trend is first unfolding to project lines with frequency that often describe price five or six days later. That means you can find multiple entry opportunities as the trend unfolds for five or six days.

The goal of this webinar is to provide a better understanding of how and why trends begin and flow – using a little line and a little physics!

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Even though interest rates on the major currencies are all approaching zero, the world is still open for business. Join professional trader and educator, Tim Morge, as he looks at major currencies that are moved by physical flows (payments for actual natural resources), such as the Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar. Movements in these currencies are more easily tracked or anticipated by looking at the movements in natural resources.

Tim will concentrate primarily on two currency pairs he feels that currency traders should be charting and trading daily: the Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar, with a special eye on the Canadian Dollar/Japanese Yen, because in this world so intertwined with the price of Energy, the physical flows and their resulting payments are both very traceable and very trade-able. Both of the currencies of these resource rich countries refuse to trade along with the views of most economists.

The caveats that remain in parallel, are flight to safety and or flight to liquidity. A handful of the largest money managers each control several trillion dollars in assets. But no matter how much they manage, they must struggle to generate a respectable rate of return. The Eastern Polish economy may be generating superb returns, but its investment vehicles have too small a total capacity and are rather illiquid, when compared with the investment options available in the major countries. If the United States markets are perceived to be likely to generate a steady or positive yield, the larger pools of money are forced to invest in the United States just because of its stability and liquidity, if the carry trade is no longer available.

In addition, Tim will show the strong correlation between the movement of energy prices and the Canadian Dollar, against both the Euro and the US Dollar, discussing the possibility of how soon the United States becoming totally energy independent and once that happens, becoming a significant net exporter of energy products and all sorts of natural resources.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Traders, investors and money managers often base their decisions on rates of return. In the FX markets, this means comparing the interest rate of one country to the interest rate of another. These types of trades are extremely popular and are called 'carry trades', because you borrow currency at the lower rate and earn interest on the currency with the highest interest rate.

But what if the interest rates offered by the major countries are all very close to one another - and are fairly close to zero? In this scenario, 'carry trades' don't offer much opportunity for profits. And as 2013 begins, carry trades in the currencies of the major countries are not worth the bother. How will it change how you will think about trading currencies?

Tim will show you how to find and trade opportunities in the FX Futures markets, even if the interest rate differential between the major countries has collapsed. With a change in emphasis and solid money management and risk return, there are opportunities to be made in this environment!

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In a very special outlook event, professional trader and educator, Tim Morge, will look at long term price market structure to pinpoint the markets he feels are most likely to have significant moves in 2013. Tim will discuss techniques he has used for more than 25 years when long term portfolio trading. Tim will focus on the major markets and highlight themes, including

• - US T-Bond Futures - Will the Super Rally in Bonds Finally End?
• - Euro FX Futures - Can Pure Price Patterns Tell Us If the End is Finally Here?
• - Grain Futures - Buy in May and Go Away?
• - Gold Futures - If the Fundamentals Say $2200, is Gold Headed to $1200?

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Professional trader and educator Tim Morge will present the pendulum price pullback trade set-up, looking at recent and current examples in the E-mini S&P. In addition to real market examples, Tim will highlight the theory behind the trade set-up as outlined in charts taken directly from Dr. Andrew's original work. Having explained the theory, Tim will show how he spots and uses this pendulum pullback in recent markets, in several different time frames.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In this session professional trader, Tim Morge, will show how he uses a simple line and market structure to project where time and space might meet, providing an opportunity for a high probability trade entry in the FX futures market. Tim will feature two of his own proprietary line methods and discuss how each can be used to project the probable path of price and time, meaning how much price, or “space”, must work through before it reaches a critical juncture indicating a high probability trade entry.

First, Tim will go through the basics of the balance line, how it relates to market structure, how to identify market phase (up trend, down trend or range] and how he is able to spot the 'flow', or change, from one phase to another. This involves using one simple line and observing how price interacts with this line, which is an early indicator of trend change.

Next, Tim will go through the basics of the maximum excursion line, one of his most useful proprietary tools, and show how it estimates the probable path of price. Tim will show how the maximum excursion line can project where price and time may meet to indicate the nexus, or area, where high probability opportunities are likely to appear. Tim will combine this one simple line with Newton's Laws of Motion to reveal the Geometry that runs throughout the markets..

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Join professional trader and educator, Tim Morge, as he discusses how traders may be able to take advantage of euphoria and panic in the metals markets. Traders may get nervous when metals prices go down and nervous when metals prices go up and they aren’t long. This is a natural human reaction that every trader must understand and manage.

Tim will show you how he uses swing trades in the metals markets, how he sets logical profit targets and exit levels, then waits for the market to head back to an area of balance to re-enter. Swing trading presents an alternative to a buy and hold strategy in the metals. It took more than 20 years for Gold and Silver to get back to their 1980’s nominal highs. See how Tim Morge uses use swing trading with reasonable profit targets and how he works profit floor orders to preserve profit potential.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Long time professional trader and educator Tim Morge will share how he seeks high probability long term entries in the CME Group Grain markets. Tim will show you some of the proprietary methods he has honed for long term trading while mentoring other large traders and managers at the now-legendary Commodities Corporation.

Each Spring, Tim uses market structure and Andrews' Median Lines, along with surgeon-like money management, to identify high probability buy areas in the grains. He relies on his vast knowledge of the seasonal tendencies of each of the CBOT Grain futures markets for that particular year, something he calls "Biologics", to help him confirm buying or selling opportunities.

Tim will show you how, once he is in a long term grain position, he uses money management tools to greatly improve his trading. He will show you how he 'frames' a potential long term trade in the grains and share with you the 'engine' that he uses to drive a series of long term grain trades: Risk-Reward, as taught to him by Amos Hostetter. He will explain how and why he collapses his risk as a trade begins to unfold, and how he chooses logical profit targets for his grain trades.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Tim Morge is one of the few surviving members of Dr. Alan Andrews’ Inner Circle, the Coral Gables Group. He has been a successful speculator for forty years and a member of the CME since 1980.

Long time energy markets speculator, Tim Morge, will give you a solid introduction to simple Andrews Median lines and their 5 main rules, while he follows developments in the NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures (CL) marketplace.

Tim will show you how Median Lines are a superior trend tool when following markets. They get you in, show you high probability targets, and show you when the trend is finished. Tim will be showing you several entry techniques using Median Line tools.

In addition to Median Lines, Tim will discuss how Andrews used sliding parallels, Hagopian’s rule, and how minor Median Lines can be used to put time and price together to find high quality entries. Tim is an active trader of the CME Group’s energy markets, regularly trading trends in Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures (CL), Heating Oil (HO) futures, Natural Gas futures (NG) and RBOB Gasoline futures (RB).

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Energy coils are similar to tightly packed trading ranges. When price breaks out of a coil, they often indicate trading opportunities. Professional trader & educator, Tim Morge, will explain several trading strategies he employs that utilize energy coils in CBOT’s US T-bond & US T-note futures markets - a short-term intra-day strategy, as well as a longer term strategy where the energy coil indicates support or resistance.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In this webinar, professional trader and educator Tim Morge will show you straight-forward trading strategies for CME Group equity index and interest rates futures options markets. Tim Morge will explain his proprietary trading techniques with options strategies in both equity index and interest rate futures markets, both pure options strategies as well as combination futures & options strategies.

Utilizing options in your trading can lower risk, and a strategy combining options with futures can often allow traders to take advantage of market moves that Tim’s successful trading methodologies can pinpoint for you – in new and interesting ways.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Let Tim Morge show you how he uses his instincts trading the E-mini S&Ps, the E-mini Dow and the E-mini NASDAQ stock index futures - and how you can learn to use that same instinct to your own advantage. It’s human nature to see prices move and want to ‘jump on board’. Professional traders may exploit your natural instincts by manipulating price fluctuations. Let Tim Morge teach you how he to turns these fluctuations into an advantage when trading stock index futures.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Join professional trader, Tim Morge, as he discusses why he thinks there will be a major move shortly in crude oil futures. Tim’s watching a set up in Canadian dollar and Japanese Yen futures – a great proxy for crude oil – and believes it is an indicator of an upcoming move. Tim will show how he stalks moves in oil and then, how to express a currency position that will move in tandem with oil.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In part two of this series, long time successful trader & educator Tim Morge will build on last month’s topic, expanding on the basics of his core trading methodology using CME Currency Futures.
Tim will:

• Make some important observations about Market Structure
• Reveal new and innovative ways you can use Gaps as Pivots in your own trading
• Use CME Currency Futures charts to show how Gaps and 'Event Style Bars' may identify important trading opportunities

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In the webinar, long time successful trader & educator Tim Morge will begin by teaching you the basics of his core trading methodology using CME Currency Futures. Then Tim will:

• Make some important observations about Market Structure
• Reveal new and innovative ways you can use Gaps as Pivots in your own trading
• Using CME Currency Futures charts, Tim will show you how to use Gaps and 'Event Style Bars' to identify important trading opportunities

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

In the webinar, long time successful trader & educator Tim Morge will teach you the basics of his core trading methodology using COMEX Gold futures. Tim will:

• Begin with a blank chart and make observations
• Build a Market Map step by step, one he has used in his live sessions daily
• Learn how to identify important Market Structure, Swing Highs and Lows, and how to identify the Major Trend and Changes
• How to use Market Structure when choosing the three pivots for a Median Line set [Pitchfork]
• Learn the simple rules, probabilities and the statistics-associated with Median Lines
• Learn to use Sliding Parallels to find the Frequency of Price, both inside and outside the Median Line, to find effective entries with the trend and logical profit targets.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

The oil price rally is over. Or is it? And why is the price of natural gas languishing? Professional trader Tim Morge will discuss how the energy markets look to him using his trademark technicals, and fundamental factors affecting these markets. Join the discussion and see why Tim thinks there may be some unexpected prices movements yet to come in the crude oil and natural gas markets.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Join professional trader, money manager and educator, Tim Morge, as he discusses current trading opportunities in the FX futures markets, as well as utilizing FX futures to hedge currency risk. Tim will show attendees how to identify market structure, interpret the current market context and find the market’s frequency using his technical tool of choice, Pitchforks and Median Lines. Tim’s extensive background in both cash FX and futures markets provides him with a unique perspective to identify market opportunity.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Trading around the world with Forex E-micro futures.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Join 38-year career trader Tim Morge as he discusses how to use technical analysis tools in the Forex markets. Tim will look at 3 active markets, discuss the market structure, “frame” them with technical tools, determine possible entry & stop levels. As technical tools, Tim will use Fibonacci levels, retracement and projection levels and Andrews’ pitchforks. Tim will focus on common mistakes made by Forex traders and how to combat them, while sharing several of his own favorite proprietary trade set ups. Learn why the patience, timing and discipline that professional traders have known for years, can be important in trading Forex.

Speaker: Tim Morge - Market Geometry and Blackthorne Capital, Inc.

Join 35-plus year career trader Tim Morge as he discusses how to:

• Use technical analysis tools correctly to increase your profitability
• How Median Lines & Pitchforks increase can improve your trading
• Put "Action" back into your day trading by taking "time" out
• Discover the patience, timing and discipline in risk management that experts have known for years